226 | Johanna Hoffman on Speculative Futures of Cities

Cities are incredibly important to modern life, and their importance is only growing. As Geoffrey West points out, the world is adding urban areas equivalent to the population of San Francisco once every four days. How those areas get designed and structured is a complicated interplay between top-down planning and the collective choices of millions of inhabitants. As the world is changing and urbanization increases, it will be crucial to imagine how cities might serve our needs even better. Johanna Hoffman is an urbanist who harnesses imagination to make cities more sustainable and equitable.

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Johanna Hoffman received an MLA in landscape architecture and environmental planning from UC Berkeley. She is the co-founder and Director of Planning at urban futures firm Design for Adaptation. She has won fellowships from the European Futures Observatory and the Berggruen Institute, and served as Artist in Residence at the Buckminster Fuller Institute. Her new book is Speculative Futures: Design Approaches to Navigate Change, Foster Resilience, and Co-Create the Cities We Need.

4 thoughts on “226 | Johanna Hoffman on Speculative Futures of Cities”

  1. Thank-you Johanna so very much!
    Two thoughts stuck in my head:
    1- “Who is going to take the biggest hit?” is the timeless reflexive question I ask considering any “policy” issue. First Do No Harm. This is the both the bane of my social life & the fuel for my creativity.
    2- High-Resolution = Judea Pearl’s 3rd Level, the Highest Level of Reasoning, Unit-Level Reasoning, except, but,
    Johanna is Not undoing events that already took place, she is:
    Imagining undoing events that “will”, “should”, “could” take place in the future.
    She is applying Pearl’s method of counterfactuals, of undoing events that have taken place but to likely future events.
    Should Pearl be concerned?
    Is this a 4th Level of Reasoning???
    “Futures” – are there new levels of reasoning hiding within them?
    I don’t know.
    But that does seem like a good place to look.
    Thanks again for the Inspiration
    Now I just have to figure out how this conceptually fits in with Cells & Heredity

  2. Pingback: Sean Carroll's Mindscape Podcast: Johanna Hoffman on Speculative Futures of Cities - 3 Quarks Daily

  3. The remarkable thing about this podcast is that Johanna Hoffman whose profession is envisioning the future of Cities is that she does not offer a single recommendation or specific plan or approach to redesigning urban spaces. There are no specifics in anything that she discusses. I had assumed that Ms. Hoffman would have proposed at least some improvements to the existing design of Cities. Should everything residents want be within 15-20 minutes of each resident’s home? How should traffic be handled? What changes would she suggest to public transportation systems? Does she favor charging car owners for driving into a City center. What about parks and exercise spaces? Does she have suggestions for improvements in housing or in the logistics of food and goods deliveries into concentrated population areas. You will hear none of these key questions addressed in her podcast.

    Sean tried hard to get some specifics out of Hoffman at the end of the podcast but it was all to no avail as Hoffman seemed only interested in talking about vague generalities and ideas about unspecified speculative futures. Since most Cities grew over many decades and sometimes many centuries, one cannot simply reimagine or redesign them. There is very little that can be done to radically change Paris or New York as there is even very little space for expansion of existing facilities and institutions. In short quite a puzzling podcast.

  4. I found this podcast quite frustrating – the title and subject matter were tantalizing, but the actual discussion floated far above at a meta level about how communities might envision their possible futures and make decisions around them.

    You might expect from the blurb and title that you might hear about a possible cool city of the future and what that city might be like. If that’s what you’d like to hear about, no need to go all the way through the episode to verify your disappointment.

    The irony is that Hoffman touts the benefits of collaborative design approaches to future planning, specifically so that people can really envision what possibles futures would be like, so that in turn they can dive into the details of tradeoffs and explore the differences between what different stakeholders. The promise here is a vividness of description and imagination of the future. But Hoffmann’s exposition of the process itself is abstract, detail-free, with no particular commitments made.

    This irony reached its peak when Carroll (possibly in some frustration) finished the interview with this question:

    “So after all of these nice words, inspirational thoughts about collaboration and bringing in different voices, I’m gonna violate all of that and close by asking you to give us your personal vision of the perfect future city.”

    Hoffman’s answer, roughly: It would have 20 million people. And it would be a place where people can meet together to use the Speculative Futures methodology that she champions to collaboratively plan the future of that city(!!!!).

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