Moral Hazard of the Multiverse

Brian Greene was on the Colbert Report the other day, promoting his new book The Hidden Reality. Little did he know (one presumes) how much he was endangering the moral fiber of today’s youth.

 

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Brian’s book is about the multiverse, a hot topic these days in cosmology circles. I haven’t had a chance to read it yet, but he is one of the clearest and most level-headed people we have writing about modern physics, so I’m sure it’s worth checking out.

We’ve certainly touched on the multiverse idea on this very blog, for example here and here. It’s a controversial topic, as you may have heard. People worry that talking about unobservable things is a repudiation of what it means to do science, a symptom of the decadence of modern society, etc. Click the links to rehash the usual debates.

But a new rhetorical strategy has appeared among the anti-multiverse crowd — not that the idea is wrong (which would be very interesting, if there were a good argument for it), or even that it’s nonscientific (the usual complaint), but that it’s immoral. We are actually violating the Categorical Imperative by talking about universes beyond our own. Points for novelty!

Or not. The immorality argument was recently advanced by John Horgan and Peter Woit. But if you read the posts, it’s the usual curmudgeonly sniping, with the shrillness knob turned up a click or two. The actual argument is the same as it ever was: talking about unobservable things is not science. [Update: Peter explains his objection here.]

However, a truly novel version of the immorality charge was leveled by Clay Naff at the Huffington Post. Naff introduces a “moral principle,” which informs us to “resist accepting any proposition that tends to disable moral reasoning, unless and until the scientifically interpreted evidence compels us.” That is, instead of judging ideas by our conventional criteria of whether they are likely to be “right” or “wrong,” we should include an additional new factor that weights against ideas that would disable morality.

Hopefully the problem with this idea is immediately evident: ideas about how the universe works can’t possibly “disable moral reasoning.” The world does whatever it does, quite independently of our moral judgments. The job of morality is to figure out what we think we human beings should be doing, which, as we’ve been discussing, does not reduce to looking at what actually happens in the universe.

Of course, what counts as a moral action certainly depends on what actually happens in the universe. (Saving lives would be less urgent if everyone who dies goes to Paradise in the afterlife.) But Naff’s worry is a little funny. What he seems to be concerned about — although he never quite comes out and says it, so a bit of interpretation is required, and I could always be misreading — is the possibility that our moral intuitions could be undermined by the idea that there are an infinite number of copies of ourselves out there in the multiverse, some of them exactly like us and many of them slightly different, e.g. worlds where Hitler was victorious, etc. In such a setup, should we be concerned that morality is pointless, because every good thing and every bad thing eventually occurs elsewhere in the cosmos?

I don’t think we should be concerned about that (even if it’s true, which it may very well be). An idea like this doesn’t “disable our moral reasoning” — in fact, it might be extremely helpful to our moral reasoning. If your version of morality depends on the assumption that what happens here on Earth is unique in the universe, then it’s time to update your morality, not to put your hands over your ears when people start talking about the multiverse.

The real problem with Naff’s position is its fundamentally paternalistic tone — even if, to his credit, he seems to include himself among those who need protection from these scary ideas.

The danger lies in how they take root in popular culture. If we come to believe that choices do not matter, that any action is matched by its opposite somewhere, we risk losing our capacity for moral reasoning. History shows that, inbuilt though that capacity may be, ideas can short-circuit it.

In short, what I am saying is that those of us who are NOT so brilliant as to be able to follow the math need to resist being seduced by visions of parallel bubbles in a multiverse.

I have this old-fashioned notion that if an idea about the universe is very possibly correct, there is no moral or scientific advantage to pretending otherwise, even among those who can’t follow the math. Our capacity for moral reasoning shouldn’t depend on what’s happening many googols of parsecs away in an unobservable part of the universe. If it does, our moral reasoning needs an upgrade. And if reading popular books about the multiverse help nudge people along that path, I’m all for it.

59 Comments

59 thoughts on “Moral Hazard of the Multiverse”

  1. “The actual argument is the same as it ever was: talking about unobservable things is not science. ”

    I’ve never made that argument anywhere, it’s not something I think. I spend most of my day thinking about possible uses of abstract mathematics in fundamental physics that use very much unobservable quantities.

    If your multiverse is not going to be pseudo-science it has to be part of a framework that can be scientifically tested. A standard argument is that the multiverse is science because it is part of the string theory framework, so, test string theory and the multiverse follows. The problem is that you can’t test string theory, and the multiverse is invoked as the excuse for that. That’s why this (string theory + multiverse) framework is pseudo-science, not because other parts of the multiverse are unobservable.

  2. Sean said “The immorality argument was recently advanced by John Horgan and Peter Woit.“.
    That does seem to be tarring them with the same brush.

    But regardless, the status of multiverse theory as ‘pseudo-science’ is an important debate we should be having.

    We certainly should be entertaining and following a great variety of ideas. The counter-argument, in this case, is that speculative ideas have been excessively popularised, creating an artificial acceptance and elevating them to the levels of pseudo-science.

    Yes, we should be exploring the world of speculative ideas but should we be so actively advocating them and popularising them when they lack evidence? This is at the heart of Peter Woit’s moral concerns. It is an important issue and should be debated.

    We need to be careful with words. Labeling a something as a ‘moral concern’ is not quite the same thing as calling it ‘immoral’ which carries very different implications.

  3. The “moral argument” would forbid you to accept any fundamental theory with fully deterministic evolution. If you have no free will, you’re arguably not responsible for your actions in any meaningful sense. Instead, it’s the initial conditions of the universe that are responsible. (Or the final conditions for that matter.) So. What now? Cut funding for everybody who dares to believe time evolution is fundamentally deterministic because the philosophical implications are sociologically difficult?

  4. My (very limited) understanding of all this is that string theorists view their work as science because it is mathematically-grounded; and even if it is untestable and unfalsifiable now, it still may be so at some more advanced stage in the future. I’m not clear, is it Peter’s contention that the subject matter is inherently and forever untestable, and thus worthy of the term “pseudo-science” (a term that must rankle people like Sean), or simply that the current state-of-affairs is untestable, making the term applicable for the time-being?
    (I’m not really interested in the whole “immorality” argument, but am interested in the “pseudo-science” designation.)

  5. “If your version of morality depends on the assumption that what happens here on Earth is unique in the universe, then it’s time to update your morality, not to put your hands over your ears when people start talking about the multiverse.”

    Indeed.

    Let’s see, then. What I decide now will irrevocably select a branch for this universe from now on. Which branch would I like to be on?

    How is that not a workable basis for a workable morality, albeit an openly selfish one?

  6. Low Math, Meekly Interacting

    I’ve never understood why this is so difficult: There are always things that can’t be observed, but they may have observable, testable consequences. The unobservables are a component of a theory that makes new, testable predictions, and must accommodate all other established observations at least as well as the current state of the theoretical art. I would say anything that does not meet those criteria has not achieved the status of scientific theory. Period. Call it whatever else you like, if words like “theory” and “science” are to have any meaning at all, they have to have definitional constraints that preserve their integrity.

    Nothing about multiverse-dependent speculation that I have ever seen strikes me as even qualifying to aspire to theory, so distant and remote are their chances at predicting anything we can possibly observe. Even more disturbing, no matter how many proposed observational signatures fail to materialize, nothing seems to deter the field. Instead of being more constrained, the underlying principles these ideas have established for themselves appear to allow such an enormous range of escape routes that it’s impossible to ever be content that the idea has been falsified. If this isn’t “unfalsifiability” in absolute principle, it find it hard to believe it can be anything but that in practice. At the end of the day, in science, I should think that “in practice” is all that matters.

    Because of these developments, many who study the multiverse appear to be re-defining what is “scientific” in a way that accommodates their speculation however it may evolve in the intellectual realm, rather than feeling constrained by the physical one. If this isn’t a paradigm shift, I don’t know what is.

  7. Peter,
    You try to take a cynical view of everything but you dont have anything significant to contribute rather than not very original rants (so your disclaimer is redundant).And it seems your abstract mathematics has not gone anywhere in the last 20 years.

    I think the multiverse idea is at least worthy of discussion. I have no idea how these self righeteous people can declare any discussion of speculative idea as immoral. This is crazy!

  8. Oh, well done, Sean. You tore that straw-man version of my argument to bits. You quote my principle, and then restate a cartoon version of it that is in direct contraction to my essay. Where’s the intellectual integrity in that?
    Let me remind you of two things in my essay: first, I clearly state that we should not flinch from the pursuit of and acceptance of truths, however troubling they may be. To be concrete about it, I state that even if the worst slurs heaped on evolution were true, I would defend it, because the evidence for it is overwhelming. Second, I make it perfectly clear that I have no quarrel with Brian Greene or the pursuit of multiverse studies. Rather, I am warning against the facile adoption in pop culture of *conjectures* that may or may not be true, and even if true may be only part of a larger truth. Listen to Greene’s interview — he says much the same to Colbert.
    Finally, since you seem unable to imagine the moral hazard that can arise from mistaking the infinite multiverse conjecture for fact, let me offer you a scenario: suppose that you truly believe that there are infinite copies of yourself “out there,” including every possible variation of your life history. Now, suppose I offer you a million dollars to play Russian Roulette with a gun that has five of six chambers loaded. Would it not be rational to take the bet? And so, would it not be rational to abandon “this” life at every frustration or mistake?
    Just because this is counterintuitive does not mean you can brush it aside — as anyone who respects science should know.

    Yours,

    Clay Farris Naff

  9. I recently was listening to a “This American Life” episode. It was about a few real estate loan agents pressuring customers to take loans they really couldn’t afford. Most of these loans had low initial teaser rates and would then blow up down the line. Many of the young agents resisted doing it and their bosses would get upset. The argument from them was “if you don’t make the loan somebody else will and they will make the profit and you won’t”.

    This is definitely a philosophical stance one can take on any question that requires a decision. This framework is specifically modeled in Everett’s Many Worlds theory. Each decision invokes a splitting of worlds where the proportion of worlds roughly splits into the probability beforehand of the different decision events occurring. So if one takes the MW idea as actually true one does effectively remove the moral component in decision making. Who’s to say that all those bosses in finance didn’t actually know about the MW interpretation of physics when they said to themselves “if you don’t do it somebody else will?

  10. Torbjörn Larsson, OM

    The problem is that you can’t test string theory, and the multiverse is invoked as the excuse for that.

    Feh! String theory is in principle testable on some scales, multiverses are testable now or soonest (as Sean has invited guest bloggers to discuss), so there is no principle of physics or morals involved.

    “Pseudoscience” you can claim when it isn’t science, and when it isn’t science (say, because no practical method of testing appears) is an outcome of scientific community behavior and not a matter for individuals.

    If there is a problem of morality it is for Woit. He induces people to think string theory is not main stream science, which is a problem for science and education both. Yet legal principles (often founded in principles of ethics, seldom or never in moral behavior) say that there is freedom of speech. But we don’t have to pretend we like the behavior!

  11. Even if I believed there were infinite copies of myself out there, I’m still not taking that Russian roulette bet. Because guess what, *this* copy happens to be one I’m especially invested in. I’m pretty sure most people feel that way, and will continue to do so, multiverse or not.

  12. Torbjörn Larsson, OM

    So if one takes the MW idea as actually true one does effectively remove the moral component in decision making.

    It doesn’t work that way.

    First, you haven’t solved or even answered the is-ought fallacy that Sean points out.

    Second, even if you did this, the idea shows a blatant misunderstanding of MW and evolution both. If there is no reasonable or accepted probability measure over MWs yet, as Sean’s links shows discussions of, you can’t make uncontested claims out of its probabilities. And since there are probability measures over evolution (likelihoods of behavioral traits, fitness) that precisely describe what different species find as innate “moral” behavior, it isn’t affected by the existence of MWs.

    I hope the “philosophical stance” was a jest, because morals and science are empirical matters and need empirical answers. Philosophical concerns such as “is-ought” merely brings out the relevant difficulties, they are incapable of actual answer. (For the same reason as religion, because there are many equally valid “truths”.)

  13. Well, I don’t think it is a misunderstanding of either MW or evolution. For one thing evolution does not specifically model the survival of the fittest “individual”. Survival of a community requires cooperation within the community also. Even ants cooperate among themselves to insure survival of the community. In my opinion people who embrace the MW philosophy most literally tend to ignore this and embrace it for more or less selfish motives. And many of these people probably never heard of MW but they are never the less following it. But they are misapplying it because they think it follows from evolution. Actually the more we learn about evolution the more we learn it is often about aggregation of individual entities into communities of cooperating entities.

    So I think individuals like you who concentrate choice at the individual level rather than at the community level are those most likely to embrace MW. It is a misunderstanding of both.

  14. I guess I should add that I know the difference between MW and 10^500 multiverses in string theory. They are two different things. I don’t agree with string theory for reasons others have put forward – that it is unscientific. It is only the MW framework that I consider amoral and that it often forms the excuse for immoral action, whether it is consciously done or not.

  15. A note to some of the breezy detractors who’ve commented: it is appalling to find among scientifically literate people such a poor ability to come to grips with the argument presented. Antiwoit rants about “self-righteous” people (presumably myself, for one) declaring “any discussion of speculative idea as immoral.” But that is not at all what I said. Blake Stacy says, “If we refuse to consider unpleasant hypotheses “until the scientifically interpreted evidence compels us’.” I could not agree more, but again that is not what I said. Bee writes, “The “moral argument” would forbid you to accept any fundamental theory with fully deterministic evolution.” Nonsense, as the principle itself makes clear. So, what’s going on?
    My hunch is that many of you feel that I am attacking science (perhaps out of religious motives), and so you’re eager to sweep my argument into the Creationist bin. But you’d be wrong. I’m a devoted supporter of science who, it so happens, is not religious at all.
    The argument I am making has everything to do with the premature adoption of a conjecture as scientific fact in the popular consciousness. Can this do harm? History demonstrates it. Leave aside “Social Darwinism.” I presume that none of you would deliberately torture a sick child. Yet, early in the 20th century, the premature adoption of the scientific hypothesis that *starvation* could cure juvenile diabetes led to horrific maltreatment of already suffering children. You may scoff at the notion that MW as a worldview (rather than as a scientific hypothesis) can have terrible consequences, but I can only say that it shows a poor understanding of history, moral reasoning and/or the social impact of ideas.
    Regards,

    Clay

  16. I can’t get excited about whether something mathematical is “science” .

    String theory is mathematics. If it can be shown to describe the real world, then it becomes physics. That’s OK with me.

    Here’s an example of the above: Riemann investigated the mathematics of curved spaces. At the time it seemed to have no correspondence with the world we know. But along came Einstein, who used Reimannian geometry in his general theory of relativity, which certainly is science.

  17. Never trust anyone who publishes popular pseudo-science books.

    They have made the Faustian bargain [i.e., sold out to mammon and celebrity].

    Then the devil collects his due by having them fall prey to their own Platonic fantasies.

    It is especially sad when this happens to people who start out as good and gifted scientists.

    Albert Zwiestein

  18. Brian Greene (although he is not very active anymore) has played an important part in physics. While many other “Albert Zwiestein” were sleeping in their mother’s basement searching clever words to insult good scientists, Brian Greene and others like him were discovering Mirror Symmetry in string theory. People like Hawking and Brian Greene are not Faustian but excellent spokesperson for theoretical physics. Greene acknowledges that his work is speculative but nonetheless interesting area which many good people in physics are thinking about.

    I am completely flabbergasted when people who do not even write one serious paper in theoretical physics claim that they are the vanguard of morality in science. What a world, what a life!

  19. Catch-22: If we refrain from considering the multiverse, then by definition our counterparts in another universe will necessarily be speculating about it.

  20. I agree completely. Absolutely nothing of moral value follows from the multiverse that wasn’t already implicit in science long ago. Frankly, although I think it “exists”, I’m not sure anything scientific follows from it either, other than as a fairly generic prediction. And your right about Brian Greene’s book. In my opinion, it is extremely even handed and well written. In fact, if I have any complaint with Brian’s books its that they are often a little too even handed, particularly in matters of alternatives to QM.

  21. Scientific theories lead to testable predictions that are well-defined [i.e., not “plastic”].

    Pseudo-science cannot make such yes/no testable scientific predictions. It waffles, at best.

    If you like pseudo-science, feel free to wallow in it.

    But please do not call it science. And do not sell it to the credulous as science.

    As for morality, where is the morality in leading a generation of promising physics students into the swamp of pseudo-science from which few escape intact?

    Finally, does anybody worry about the correlation between rise of pseudo-science and the decline of progress in theoretical physics? If you sincerely care about science, are you not more than a little worried about where this trend is heading?

    Albert Zwiestein

  22. Whether the Everett-Wheeler Interpretation (EWI) – I hate the “Many Worlds” misnomer – has moral implications is an interesting question. There’s no reason why it shouldn’t, and there’s no reason why science or its consequences could never be moral or immoral, although that has nothing to do with its truth. It’s hard to imagine with fundamental physics, but it’s certainly true of medical science.

    Moral beliefs are based on a combination of systematic justifications combined with social conventions, operating on a lot of inbuilt instinct. These justifications can interact in various ways with knowledge of how the world works. Somebody could argue that under EWI the person you see is only an infinitesimal fraction of the full “multi-person”, and so to murder them is to kill only an infinitesimal part of them. If the generally accepted arguments against murder are the end of a unique and irreplaceable life, then this might be a valid argument. (I think that’s a lot more plausible a scenario than the suicide question.) Another question that bears on moral justifications is that of free will and determinism. Are you morally responsible for your own actions in a deterministic universe? It depends on the moral system – some say yes, others no.

    As for EWI being testable – in one sense it has already been tested, and in another the question itself is unscientific. EWI is an ontological interpretation of QM, it predicts only what QM predicts, and as such, is exactly as “true” as QM. The simple “test” of it is to ask in the double-slit experiment, whether the electron as it passes through one slit is electrostatically repelled by its counterpart passing through the other? Can it “see” it, or the other particles affected by it, in the sense of being able to interact electromagnetically with them? If the answer is ‘no’, then you have two parts to the universe that cannot see one another, which is precisely what the EWI extends to the rest of the universe. If you can accept that the electron is not affected by the electric field of its quantum alternative, and yet both exist simultaneously, you have already accepted the basic principle of EWI.

    EWI can perhaps be best understood as a sort of “normal modes of vibration” arising from the interaction (observation) of one quantum oscillator (the observer) coupled temporarily with another (the observed). The particular modes of oscillation will depend on the details of the interaction, (and to some degree the observer,) but being orthogonal, will not be “aware” of one another. They’re not really separate universes – the name is terribly misleading in that regard – but separate parts of a single universe that happen not to interact with one another. We’re not creating gazillions of entire universes out of nothing, all we’re saying is that waves can cross without affecting (‘seeing’) one another.

    EWI doesn’t have anything much to do with the perceived problems with string theory – this is really to do with the use of the anthropic principle to avoid having to provide explanations, which I fully agree is an unscientific cop-out. But not providing explanations for everything is no reason to reject a theory as an intermediate, incomplete theory, unless the alternatives on offer do, and not providing tests at experimentally accessible energies does not mean it is ‘unscientific’ to work on it, although it would be unscientific to accept it as the way the world works.

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